The US Energy Information Administration raised its December forecasts for global crude prices in 2020 and 2021. Brent is now expected to average $48.53 in 2021 and WTI $45.78, while US crude output for 2020 was revised down to 11.3 million bpd.
A higher EIA price outlook signals firmer energy costs into 2021, supporting biofuel economics and input costs for feed producers. Lower US output tightens the domestic crude balance.
After 116 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.0% to +3.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 131 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.3% to +3.4%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.