Goldman Sachs says global gas markets are moving from a heavily oversupplied period to a tighter one that will persist for several years. The bank raised its 2020/21 winter and 2021 summer TTF and JKM forecasts and expects prices to sit above forwards in 2022.
A forecast of structurally tighter gas markets supports higher energy and nitrogen fertilizer costs over the coming years, which feed buyers should factor into multi-year budgets.
After 74 past bullish report events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -4.0% to +11.3%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.