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Standard Chartered reports that rapid appreciation of the South Korean won is a key concern for its local clients, most of whom are exporters, and that they expect further gains. USD/KRW was trading above 1,115, and some forecasters see it falling below 1,000 as the US dollar weakens.
Standard Chartered expects broad dollar weakness to continue, citing capital shifting away from US assets and wider US twin deficits.
A stronger won and weaker dollar raise the local-currency cost of Korean exports and can dampen export demand and margins, while a softer dollar generally supports dollar-priced commodity imports such as feed grains and oilseeds.
octaafrica.netFeb 2, 2021Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
