
U.S. natural gas futures rose Tuesday after an Arctic freeze crippled gas infrastructure. The March Nymex contract settled at $3.129/MMBtu, and Oklahoma next-day gas traded as high as $999.
Demand set a two-day delivery record of 151.7 Bcf on Sunday and 149.8 Bcf on Monday amid more than 30 pipeline operational issues.
A supply shock of this size lifts North American gas costs sharply, which raises nitrogen fertilizer and ethanol production costs and can tighten DDGS supply.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.