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CoBank's Knowledge Exchange says the weaker US dollar, which has fallen since March 2020, should help US animal protein exports in 2021. Grains, oilseeds and cotton are expected to face a currency headwind, and tariffs and weather still drive markets.
A weaker dollar makes US meat exports more competitive, which supports protein demand, while grains and oilseeds lose some export competitiveness.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.