
The USDA semi-annual cattle inventory showed 93.6 million head of cattle on January 1, 2021, slightly below 2020, with beef cows down less than one percent. The article notes that the cow herd has been contracting for two years due to weak profitability.
A shrinking cow herd points to smaller future calf crops and tighter beef supply, which supports cattle prices in the longer run.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.