The US dollar index rose to a three-week high on Monday as investors priced in faster US growth and inflation tied to expected fiscal stimulus and vaccine progress. The Australian dollar gained after the Reserve Bank of Australia bought more bonds than expected to curb rising yields.
A firmer dollar tends to weigh on dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices while lifting import costs for buyers using local currencies, so this reflation-driven move is a modest bearish factor for dollar-priced feed ingredients.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.