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ABARES expects Australian wheat production in 2021/22 to total 25 million tonnes, down 25% from last season's record harvest of more than 33 million tonnes. The forecast is in line with 10-year averages.
A sharp drop from a record crop tightens Australian wheat export availability, which supports world wheat prices and competes with feed grains for buyers.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.