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Depleted European gas storage is expected to draw record US LNG exports, with feedgas needs near 12 Bcf/d, about 13% of US dry gas production. US netbacks to Europe are 44%-63% above US prices, which are close to $3/MMBtu.
Strong export pull tightens US gas balances and supports Henry Hub prices, which feeds into US energy and fertiliser costs.
After 59 past bullish trade events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.7% to +10.6%), and +8.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.