WITA reports that China's purchases of US goods under the Phase 1 agreement continue to lag commitments in the second year. Implementation of non-tariff and intellectual property provisions remains unclear.
Persistent purchase shortfalls reduce confidence that China will absorb additional US grain and oilseed volumes, a modest bearish risk to US export-led prices.
After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.