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The EU is considering potash in a new package of Belarus sanctions to be discussed in June, following the Ryanair incident. Potash fertilizers made up 9% of Belarus's Q1 2021 commodity exports, worth about $609 million, and Belaruskali supplies about 16% of global potash exports.
A potential EU ban on a major global potash supplier would reduce available supply and could push fertilizer prices higher.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.