
Chinese regulators said the foreign exchange market is largely balanced and the yuan could move in either direction. They added that the exchange rate cannot be used to boost exports or offset surging commodity prices, and they vowed to crack down on manipulation.
A firmer yuan makes Chinese imports of feed ingredients cheaper in dollar terms, which can support Chinese buying of soybeans and meal. The signal that Beijing will not allow currency moves to offset commodity costs limits the chance of a weaker yuan supporting import demand.
After 50 past bearish policy events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.