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An OMFIF commentary argues that early-2021 forecasts of a sharp dollar decline proved wrong, with the dollar roughly flat for the year. It cautions against overplaying renewed bearish arguments after weak April employment data.
The dollar's range-bound trading suggests no sustained currency tailwind or headwind for dollar-priced feed commodities in the near term.
omfif.orgMark SobelMay 12, 2021After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
