
Eleven unions representing dock and tug workers staged a second 48-hour work stoppage at Rosario, which handles about 80% of Argentina's agricultural exports. Ships could load and unload but not berth or unberth, halting traffic.
The workers demand priority Covid-19 vaccinations.
Halted berthing at Rosario delays soybean meal, oil and grain exports, tightening near-term global supply and supporting soymeal and soybean prices. Freight and basis for Argentine origin cargoes are likely to rise.
After 206 past bullish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.6%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 167 past bullish logistics events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.9%), and -1.2% over 20.
After 285 past bullish logistics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.