
The rupiah weakened 0.65% to Rp14,330 per dollar in Jakarta morning trade after the Fed brought forward its projected rate increase to 2023. The Fed also raised its 2021 inflation forecast to 3.1%.
The dollar index rose to 91.339 and the 10-year Treasury yield was 1.57%.
An earlier Fed tightening path strengthens the dollar and raises import costs for Indonesian feed buyers, adding pressure on dollar-priced commodities.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.