
The rupiah has weakened against the dollar since June 14, shortly before the June 15-16 FOMC meeting, which hinted at two rate hikes by end-2023. The Jakarta interbank rate fell 0.35% to Rp14,453 on June 21.
Analysts called the move Fed-driven rather than fundamental.
Hawkish Fed signals strengthen the dollar and raise import costs for Indonesian feed buyers, while also pressuring other dollar-priced commodities.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.