African swine fever has killed 4,650 pigs in the Indian state of Mizoram since the first case on March 21, spreading to nine districts. Farm losses are estimated at over $2.5 million.
Localized Indian pig losses are small relative to global pork supply, so the effect on feed demand and prices is limited.
After 645 past disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 615 past disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.