A University of Nebraska analysis reviews feeder cattle price swings from March to July 2021, citing drought in the Western US, higher grain prices and strong retail demand. It uses video auctions and CME futures to outline fall feeder price expectations.
Drought-driven early marketing and high grain prices are reducing feedlot demand for feeders, which points to downward pressure on fall feeder prices. Corn costs are a key factor in feedlot demand.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 29 past bearish weather events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +2.6%), and +2.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.