Loading…
The UK announced Exercise Holly, a government test of African swine fever contingency plans across England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. The Swine Health Information Center also reported ASF confirmed on three farms in eastern Germany.
ASF spread in Germany and preparedness moves in the UK point to continued risk to European pork output, which can shift hog demand and feed use at the margin.
After 69 past neutral disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.