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The dollar fell against most major currencies on Tuesday ahead of US nonfarm payrolls, with the Bloomberg dollar index down nearly 1.5% from its recent peak. Commodity-linked currencies such as the rand and New Zealand dollar gained close to 1%.
A weaker dollar tends to support dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices, though the effect depends on whether the payrolls data reverses the trend.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.