
The dollar rose on August 12 after US producer prices jumped 7.8% over the 12 months through July, the largest annual increase in more than a decade. Jobless claims also fell, adding to signs of economic recovery.
Stronger inflation data increases the chance the Fed tightens sooner, supporting the dollar and making dollar-priced commodities more expensive for overseas buyers. Persistent input cost inflation also raises the cost of producing feed ingredients.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.