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US natural gas futures rose over 4% to a 32-month high on forecasts of hotter weather into mid-September and concerns that Tropical Storm Ida will shut Gulf of Mexico production. Near-record European and Asian gas prices are also supporting US futures.
Hurricane-related output losses and strong export demand for US LNG tighten domestic supply, pushing up gas costs for power and fertilizer.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.