
U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai said the Biden administration is pressing Mexico to resume approvals of genetically modified crops. Mexico has not approved a new ag biotech trait since May 2018, blocking 23 traits in apples, canola, corn, soybeans and potatoes.
The stalled approvals and Mexico's proposed GMO restrictions threaten U.S. corn and soybean export access to a key buyer, which is bearish for those prices if the dispute escalates.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.