Latin American stocks fell about 2.2% on Thursday amid growth worries after Chinese industrial profits weakened during a power shortage. Mexico's peso slid 1% as US Treasury yields rose, and Brazil's real fell to a near six-week low near 5.417 per dollar.
Brazil's central bank minutes showed it considered hikes of more than 100 bps.
Weaker Chinese demand and a firmer dollar pressure Latin American commodity exporters and their currencies. Higher Brazilian rates and a weaker real can shift export competitiveness for soy and corn.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.