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Spreads on three-month dollar swaps widened to their largest since late December 2020 as demand for dollars rose ahead of year-end. The dollar index reached its highest level since last November, boosted by expectations of Fed rate hikes.
Stronger dollar funding demand and a firmer dollar index tend to weigh on dollar-priced commodities and can slow overseas purchases.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.