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Arkansas harvest is nearly finished, with yields high, quality lower and the crop about 16% below last year according to the October Rice Outlook. USDA raised California's yield estimate to 8,900 pounds per acre.
Export sales and shipments reached a four-week high, and Asian prices firmed, with Vietnamese rice at $435 per tonne against $390 for Thai.
A smaller US crop and firm export demand support US rice prices. Price premiums for Vietnamese rice over Thai suggest tighter Asian supply.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.