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Drought has pushed oat futures to an all-time high of $6.36 a bushel, with Canadian production nearly halved and the US harvest the smallest ever. Shares of oat-based food makers General Mills and Oatly have fallen.
Record oat prices from a shortfall in the largest exporter raise input costs for oat buyers and food makers, and could pressure margins.
After 68 past bullish weather events, Oats moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.