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A Meatingplace commentary argues that African swine fever, now in the Caribbean, is close enough to be a serious threat to the US. It says pork packers would play a central role in managing any outbreak, and that a US outbreak would cause major losses of animals and export markets.
The piece urges plants to prepare for detection and sanitation.
The commentary highlights the downside risk to US pork exports and hog prices if the disease arrives. It does not report a new event that changes supply today.
meatingplace.comThomas JohnstonOct 27, 2021After 69 past neutral disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
