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OPEC+ kept its planned 400,000 bpd supply increase for November, and Brent crude traded near $81.6/b. Analysts expect supply to seasonally outpace demand in Q1 2022, which does not justify a larger hike.
Nigeria and Angola face difficulty reaching their output targets.
Expected seasonal oversupply in early 2022 could ease prices later, but near-term supply shortfalls from producers like Nigeria and Angola keep the market firm. Energy costs remain relevant for feed buyers.
energyscan.engie.comOct 5, 2021After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
