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South Korean diesel drivers began panic buying urea after China's customs introduced a new export requirement that effectively halted Chinese exports. Nearly 97% of South Korea's urea imports came from China between January and September.
Chinese export restrictions remove a major supply source from world urea markets, supporting higher global nitrogen prices and feeding through to fertilizer and crop input costs.
After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.