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A Farm Futures analysis argues that outside forces such as inflation now influence agricultural prices. US PCE inflation reached 6.3% in May 2022 after peaking at 6.6% in March, the highest since 1982.
Macro inflation and rate expectations can move commodity prices independently of crop fundamentals, so buyers should watch these signals alongside supply data.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.