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Fastmarkets reviews 2021 corn prices, which peaked at $7.36/bu in May on Chinese demand and Brazilian crop losses. It says prices cooled in the second half and market fundamentals point to a slightly bearish 2022, though weather risks remain.
Ukraine, Argentina and other origins had bumper crops.
Ample new-crop supplies from major exporters point to softer corn prices, which lowers feed costs for buyers. Weather remains the main upside risk.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.