
The Indian rupee fell 99 paise to close at 75.60 per dollar on February 24 after Russia launched military operations against Ukraine. Foreign fund outflows, equity selling and elevated crude prices weighed on sentiment, and Brent jumped about 8% to near $105.
A weaker rupee raises India's landed cost of crude and edible oils and vegetable oil imports priced in dollars, which supports global palm and soyoil import demand costs. Oil spikes also feed through to feed and freight costs.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.