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A former SAFE balance-of-payments official, Guan, said Fed tightening should reduce foreign capital inflows into China, shrinking its trade surplus and helping stabilise the yuan. He argued the currency needs to better reflect economic fundamentals.
A narrower Chinese trade surplus and weaker capital inflows could mean less demand for Chinese imports of feed inputs over time, though the effect on grain prices is indirect.
reuters.comFeb 16, 2022After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
