
The rupiah's gains stalled on March 31, 2022, closing at 14,363 per dollar, as the market reacted to Indonesia's planned rise in VAT to 11% from April 1. Dollar strength also came from hopes of de-escalation in Ukraine, which were tempered by skepticism.
Expected inflation from the VAT increase may weigh on domestic feed and livestock costs in Indonesia, and dollar-linked import prices stay elevated while the rupiah is weak.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.