The US dollar is benefiting from safe-haven flows as the ECB signals no significant tightening while the Federal Reserve moves toward tightening. The policy divergence between the two central banks is expected to weigh on the euro.
A firmer dollar lowers US feed commodity export competitiveness and makes dollar-priced grains and meals less attractive abroad.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.