
The NSW Nationals reported that Australia's winter crop was revised to a record 61.9 Mt, with record wheat, barley and canola production. Summer crops are forecast at 5.3 Mt, up 64%, and planted area rose 48% to 1.5 million hectares.
Record Australian winter crops and a large rebound in summer crops add export supply for feed grain buyers. This is bearish for wheat, barley and sorghum prices.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.