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Analysts expect Indonesia's palm oil export ban to last no more than a month because Jakarta has limited storage for surplus oil. The country also faces mounting pressure from buyers to resume shipments.
An expected short ban limits the duration of the supply shock, which tempers the price rally in palm oil and other vegetable oils.
reuters.comBernadette Christina, Rajendra JadhavApr 26, 2022After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Expectation that the ban would be short-lived due to limited storage implies Indonesian supply returning soon, supporting a sharp price pullback.
