
OPEC+ agreed on Thursday to raise output targets by 432,000 bpd for May, continuing its gradual reopening strategy. Brent fell 5.6 percent to $107.05 after recently overshooting $100, and Nigeria's quota was raised slightly.
Stable gradual increases signal limited relief for tight crude, which keeps energy and transport costs high for feed producers.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.