
The rupiah closed weaker on May 31, 2022, down 21 points to 14,578 per dollar, as US 10-year Treasury yields rose to 2.82% from 2.75%. Fed Governor Christopher Waller's hawkish remarks, backing 50 basis point hikes until inflation eases substantially, dampened hopes of a pause after June and July hikes.
A firmer dollar and higher US yields raise the local-currency cost of imported feed ingredients for Indonesia, supporting dollar-denominated commodity prices in rupiah terms.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.