ABARES forecasts Australian wheat output at 30.3 million tonnes, barley at 10.9Mt and canola at 5.6Mt for 2022-23 in its June Australian Crop Report. Wheat and barley would be the fourth-largest on record, and canola the second-largest behind last year.
A large Australian crop adds to export supply just as global wheat is tight, which tends to cap wheat and barley prices and pressures feed grain values for importers.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.