
The Australian and New Zealand dollars were set for a second weekly gain as Australian government bond yields tumbled, with three-year yields down 41 basis points to 2.73%. Markets scaled back rate hike bets after Australian inflation failed to surprise, and US Q2 GDP contracted 0.9%, raising recession concerns.
Weaker rate expectations and a softer US dollar shift currency flows that affect commodity export competitiveness and risk appetite, with limited direct impact on feed grain prices.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.