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TD Economics said the Federal Reserve is tightening at the fastest pace since the 1970s, with US inflation at 9.1% and a deeply inverted yield curve signaling recession fears. The broad US dollar has risen about 12% over the past year and the Canadian dollar has held up relatively well.
A strong dollar driven by aggressive Fed tightening and recession risk pressures dollar-denominated commodity prices and raises demand concerns for feed and energy.
economics.td.comJul 28, 2022After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
