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Dry-bulk freight markets continued to slide, with Panamax rates from the US Gulf to China falling from $78/MT to $68/MT over 30 days. Soft Chinese cargo demand and recession fears are weighing on outlooks, and Panamax FFA for 2023 fell sharply.
A trucker protest also shut the Port of Oakland.
Lower Panamax rates from the US Gulf reduce ocean freight costs for US feed grains and meal exported to China, which can narrow FOB spreads for US corn and soybeans.
grains.orgJul 21, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 284 past neutral logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.4%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 230 past neutral logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
