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Iraq's buying entity is considering purchasing Thai rice for August shipment, while US industry hopes the existing MOU rice deal will be fulfilled. Thai rice is priced at a substantial discount to US rice, creating uncertainty about the destination of the purchase.
A potential Iraqi purchase of Thai rice would add export demand, but the discount to US rice suggests price competition among exporters.
After 70 past neutral trade events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.