USDA's Brasilia bureau says China's soybean imports fell 5.9% year on year in the first seven months of 2022 to 54.17m tonnes, with July down 9.1%. The report expects Chinese demand to rebound in the second half as US harvest supplies arrive and hog herd rebuilding lifts feed needs.
A likely pickup in Chinese buying would tighten soybean and meal availability after Brazil's smaller crop, supporting soybean meal demand and prices. Delayed Chinese purchases so far have been pressuring US prices.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.