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BBVA Research analyzes how the Fed's ongoing rate hikes are causing volatility in global asset and currency prices. It notes that past aggressive Fed tightening triggered the Latin American debt crisis of the early 1980s, but says the region now has independent central banks, stronger financial systems, flexible exchange rates and better public finances.
It expects the current tightening to still pressure regional markets.
Fed tightening strengthens the dollar and pressures Latin American currencies, which can raise the local-currency cost of imported feed inputs and weigh on regional demand for feed.
bbvaresearch.comHugo PereaSep 19, 2022After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
