
Oil jumped as much as 4.1% above $90 a barrel on WTI before paring gains, after OPEC+ surprised markets with a token supply cut. The move followed lobbying from the U.S. for a hike of the same volume in September.
A surprise OPEC+ cut tightens crude supply and lifts energy costs for feed producers. The effect on feed ingredient prices is indirect.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.