
OPEC raised its September crude output to 29.81 million bpd, the highest since 2020, but still undershot its quota. OPEC+ is discussing a November production cut of 500,000 to 1 million bpd ahead of its October 5 meeting.
Higher OPEC output adds supply, but planned cuts for November would tighten the market and support energy costs. Feed buyers face mixed energy signals.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.