OPEC+ cut its oil production quotas by 100,000 barrels per day for October, reverting to August 2022 levels. The group made the decision despite what appears to be a tight physical market, aiming to put a floor under slumping prices.
The next meeting is scheduled for October 5, though the group can reconvene at any time.
Quota cuts reduce expected crude supply, supporting oil prices and the diesel and fertilizer costs that feed into grain and oilseed production.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.